Should you bet on Yankees star to break record tonight?

Aaron Judge came agonizingly close to attached Roger Maris’ Yankee and American League almanac on Thursday night. With the bold angry in the basal of the ninth, Judge boxlike up a angle from Matt Barnes, about hit it to the centermost allotment of the park. Thus, the affray landed in Kike Hernandez’s cuff instead of Cooperstown.

Judge will get addition go at hitting No. 61 on Friday night adjoin the Red Sox, and he’s got himself a abundant bigger casting antagonism than the one he saw on Thursday. Judge entered his showdown with Michael Wacha with an 0-for-14 balance adjoin the Boston pitcher. He went hitless, about did draw three walks above the night. 

Judge and the Yankees will booty on adept Rich Hill on Friday night. The aggregation is a -215 admired abaft Gerrit Cole and Judge is +215 to hit No. 61.

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Should you bet on Yankees star to break record tonight?

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Yankees vs. Red Sox prediction: Will Aaron Judge hit a home run?

It’s not a big sample admeasurement at all, about Judge has had success adjoin Rich Hill in his career. The Yankee slugger has had bristles bowl appearances and four at-bats adjoin Hill, activity 2-for-4 with a double. You can’t really draw too abundant from that, about it does really-feel like No. 99 should be further adequate than he was once adjoin Wacha. According to Baseball Savant, Judge has an boilerplate avenue acceleration of 102.1 MPH adjoin Hill.

What’s further notable than the brew vs. bullpen splits is Hill’s accepted form. Over his aftermost eight starts, Hill has pitched to a 5.65 ERA and has allowed a .778 OPS adjoin above 36.2 innings of work. Hill is a adroit southpaw, about he’s not activity to arbor up strikeouts or overpower anyoneat this point of his career. Judge should have lots of acceptable looks in his two or three appearances adjoin Hill. 

Aaron JudgeAaron JudgeCharles Wenzelberg / New York Post

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And while Judge’s splits adjoin right-handers are bigger in 2022, he’s still acquaint a 1.002 OPS adjoin lefties in 157 bowl appearances this season.

It will agilely be adamantine to locate conclusive accepted price while action a prop like this in a celebrated moment – bookmakers apperceive they’re activity to booty a ton of bets on Judge to hit a home run – about this is about as acceptable a affairs befalling as you’re activity to get, comprehension the matchup. 

At +215, oddsmakers are tagging Judge to hit a home run with an adumbrated anticipation of almost 31.8%. That’s not a bad bet, all things considered.

Yankees vs. Red Sox pick

Aaron Judge to hit a home run +215

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