“Thursday Night Football” in Cleveland between two middling offenses. Doesn’t that just scream anytime touchdown scorer bet?
In all seriousness, lower projected totals can be exactly what you need from a value perspective when betting anytime touchdown scorer props.
Theoretically, the lower projected total will imply fewer opportunities to actually score, but that isn’t necessarily the case. Mathematically, tonight’s game will offer the same amount of possessions as any other. What the teams do with those possessions is the issue, but this is still a football game, and the objective of that game is still to score touchdowns.
Poor quarterback play is something to monitor in this one, and our friends at the Action Network like this game to go under 38.5 – the lowest Week 3 projected point total. So play this Steelers-Browns game very cautiously on when betting on touchdown scorer props.
Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET, and the game will be broadcast on Amazon Prime Video.
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Steelers vs. Browns anytime touchdown scorer prop picks
Mitch Trubisky +1000 (FanDuel)
Let’s call this divisional game on Thursday a “tough guy game.” This is the kind of matchup where the Steelers will look to get into a trench battle at the goal line – some real old-school stuff. For all of his faults as a passer, Trubisky is a fine runner, and made quite a living doing so during his time in Chicago.
As a starter for the Bears, Trubisky ran for eight touchdowns in 51 career starts. The Steelers have shown that they won’t let Trubisky run with impunity like he did in his early years in Chicago, so his yardage props are likely useless. But around the goal line, there is value here at 10:1. His career average is about one touchdown in every 6.5 games. At 10:1, this is a value spot on FanDuel. Many other books have this prop under +500, so grab it while it’s hot.
David Njoku +450 (BetMGM)
David Njoku has been somewhat forgotten in the Browns offense through two games, which is a shame, since he is a talented player with serious pass catching ability. His snap counts are there; he has been in on 91.37 percent of the Browns’ offensive plays. The problem is his target rate. He has only been targeted on six of the 51 routes he’s run this season.
Around the goal line, we know that Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt will dominate the touches. But a huge target like Njoku should be more involved in the red zone than he has been. With that kind of snap count, it is hard to ignore a player of Njoku’s size getting some attention.